Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 6.987501 8.274306 9.694314 11.372412 13.295894 15.426156 17.958211
2025-02-09 5.305840 7.023106 9.099233 11.772337 15.098791 19.076304 24.163675
2025-02-16 4.070067 5.929200 8.357583 11.713931 16.177063 21.846392 29.520577
2025-02-23 3.121049 4.959579 7.533090 11.317892 16.645609 23.766908 33.870296
2025-03-02 2.417385 4.165932 6.774547 10.832442 16.840729 25.237291 37.642253
2025-03-09 2.007266 3.719089 6.420687 10.832995 17.654372 27.551620 42.675198
2025-03-16 1.696216 3.364373 6.138450 10.875887 18.491356 29.917064 47.904393
2025-03-23 1.435634 3.041632 5.849519 10.851024 19.188810 32.090509 52.962120
2025-03-30 1.161500 2.637457 5.355920 10.411874 19.156661 33.113328 56.310610
2025-04-06 0.997102 2.410057 5.136111 10.402491 19.807587 35.223206 61.443987
2025-04-13 0.852085 2.191863 4.897871 10.322736 20.314653 37.114298 66.322248
2025-04-20 0.796693 2.155442 5.002542 10.880584 21.973345 40.998051 74.641426
2025-04-27 0.730883 2.086683 5.040155 11.328331 23.497869 44.800866 83.134878
2025-05-04 0.677570 2.037386 5.111570 11.849948 25.202498 49.026112 92.592822
2025-05-11 0.588389 1.879491 4.926161 11.830095 25.881985 51.497001 99.192931
2025-05-18 0.487879 1.667308 4.585404 11.442590 25.809441 52.608533 103.479444
2025-05-25 0.398241 1.460823 4.221987 10.956135 25.485277 53.221468 106.893497
2025-06-01 0.348396 1.357086 4.088278 10.957838 26.140708 55.676969 113.730588
2025-06-08 0.307190 1.269085 3.979516 11.001520 26.881467 58.330024 121.056067
2025-06-15 0.268509 1.178498 3.848884 10.976523 27.469381 60.716125 127.998236
2025-06-22 0.219999 1.038773 3.560674 10.533009 27.105255 61.207491 131.388509
2025-06-29 0.192910 0.968132 3.453144 10.523543 27.697627 63.628423 138.571361
2025-07-06 0.167296 0.894696 3.324389 10.442989 28.118660 65.720924 145.212688